Manifold Creator
Alan Tennant
@AlanTennant
Markets by Alan Tennant
In Cambridge UK, after the city council elections in May 2026, how many seats will each party have?
$3K9 tradersResolved
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How predictive is the State of the Union market right now?
$2K7 tradersResolved
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Which UK Deliveroo supermarket gets it hopelessly wrong first?
$2K4 tradersResolved
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What programming languages are among the top 10 most popular next year?
$97718 tradersopen
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Repeated random reduction of a number, and it's still 10 or more?
$91920 tradersResolved
33%
Most expensive elemental prices decrease by end of year?
$5928 tradersopen
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UK government approval among women falls below 5% this year?
$42312 tradersResolved
6%
Company employee count ranking change by end of year 2026?
$2733 tradersopen
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UK governmental approval rating among women falls below 5% in 2026.
$1545 tradersopen
18%
Alternate requested FairlyRandom market
$1324 tradersopen
50%
Members of the legislature (congress, parliament) in a country come to blows this year? mega-market
$1056 tradersopen
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UK government approval among women falls below 5% this year (repost from last year)?
$785 tradersopen
52%
Top 10 programming languages next year meta market, what's true after the update?
$764 tradersopen
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Will there be wild boar 🐗 in North Dakota by the end of 2026?
$704 tradersopen
48%
Fairly Random repeated prime?
$695 tradersResolved
44%
Next Lex Freedman interview? (add answers)
$562 tradersResolved
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How many 10s of thousands of species be on OneZoom at the end of this year?
$552 tradersopen
66%
Three coin flips, heads or tails?
$94 tradersResolved
50%
Delete this, I've reposted it now but correctly this time.
$11 tradersResolved
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Would completely silent war guns, without a reduction in their performance, be much of an advantage on the battlefield?
$010 tradersResolved
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(disproven) My "flee the diamond league" theory?
$05 tradersResolved
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Have you "made" music on UDIO, or a similar AI music service?
$015 tradersopen
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market made in error
$00 tradersResolved
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What physical modalities do your real life dreams usually have?
$013 tradersopen
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Slight deflation in the USA?
$06 tradersopen
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Should we allow questions where both the answer is entirely up to the question asker, and verification is impossible?
$046 tradersopen
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USA, how far would you support going with trade isolation vs the start of 2025.
$05 tradersResolved
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Are you afraid of some safe insects?
$021 tradersopen
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What happens when bots go bats?
$08 tradersResolved
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How do you sit at this low type of horizontal legs table?
$06 tradersopen
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Possible to beat any of the gold numbers on the game Tchisla?
$03 tradersopen
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Best music I discovered this year?
$01 tradersResolved
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Wafer scale integration in large scale compute projects?
$01 tradersopen
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What do you win?
$06 tradersopen
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What country do we live in?
$024 tradersopen
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Rank governmental systems by effectiveness.
$08 tradersopen
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Shall we conform to Indian anti-gambling law?
$08 tradersopen
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