Manifold Creator
A. S.
@AlS
Markets by A. S.
Will another CEO be murdered in the US between August 10th 2025 and January 1st 2026 (non-inclusive)?
$11K106 tradersResolved
95%
Will a major terrorist attack with over 100 casualties be committed against the US during Trump's current term?
$6K38 tradersopen
25%
Will the US or Israel use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?
$2K27 tradersopen
7%
Will a nuclear weapon be used in a war by the end of this decade?
$1K23 tradersopen
15%
Will a hacked self-driving vehicle be used in a murder attempt (successful or not) by the end of 2024?
$1K22 tradersResolved
7%
Will Israel establish a concentration camp in Rafah, Gaza by February 2026?
$1K26 tradersResolved
10%
Will the US have state-sanctioned death squads by Jan 20th 2029?
$1K22 tradersopen
24%
Will the US or Israel threaten to use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?
$80218 tradersopen
69%
Will someone be killed by a humanoid robot by the end of 2027?
$2009 tradersopen
26%