Manifold Creator
Aella
@Aella
Markets by Aella
Will I (Aella) convert to Christianity by the end of 2028?
$416K192 tradersopen
2%
am i fucked (will a CT scan show calcification in my basal ganglia)
$301K327 tradersResolved
3%
Will men report they were spanked more often in childhood than women?
$285K398 tradersResolved
0%
Which Manifest attendee would I enjoy having a one-night stand with the most?
$279K354 tradersResolved
—
How many people will attend Slutcon?
$239K144 tradersResolved
—
Will my ex partner and I get back together within 3 years?
$149K200 tradersResolved
62%
Will I be on Lex Fridman's podcast in 2023?
$137K384 tradersResolved
100%
Are autistic women more likely to believe in the supernatural?
$132K378 tradersResolved
48%
A major publication is doing a profile on me. Will it be a hit piece?
$122K296 tradersclosed
21%
How many showers did I take in 2024?
$96K146 tradersResolved
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Will my friend accidentally get pregnant before the end of February?
$72K127 tradersResolved
92%
Will I have a baby by the end of 2027?
$69K231 tradersopen
37%
Will I have a baby by the end of 2025?
$66K279 tradersResolved
2%
Who's more accurate in their self-assessment of hotness, men or women?
$65K126 tradersResolved
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How many people will I have sex with at my birthday gangbang?
$45K115 tradersResolved
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Will I find someone I like more than my ex by 2031?
$43K192 tradersopen
60%
Will being on hormonal birth control correlate with masc vs femme preference, in females?
$38K228 tradersResolved
49%
Who has more sex in long-term relationships: religious or non-religious people?
$29K331 tradersResolved
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Will I get into a fight at this conference?
$28K144 tradersResolved
5%
Will I get any new cavities after applying the Lantern Bioworks strain to my teeth by 2026?
$22K111 tradersopen
24%
Will there be a meaningful attempt on my life before 2024?
$21K86 tradersResolved
2%
Will I be forced to move due to stalking/doxxing before the end of 2023?
$21K79 tradersResolved
3%
Will I (Aella) find someone new to seriously date by the end of 2023?
$19K129 tradersResolved
5%
will i regret going on the whatever podcast
$19K128 tradersResolved
7%
Will I (Aella) find someone new to seriously date by the end of 2022?
$18K113 tradersResolved
5%
Am I about to get sick?
$17K68 tradersResolved
5%
What % of 19-25 year old women in my sample will report a bodycount of 10+?
$16K121 tradersResolved
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How old will my mom be when she dies?
$16K56 tradersResolved
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Which sexual position will people prefer most in my Twitter poll?
$16K43 tradersResolved
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Will any of the Bet On Love contestants be at my birthday gangbang?
$15K70 tradersResolved
—
How many copies of my Good At Sex book will I sell in the first 6 months?
$14K106 tradersclosed
—
Will women who've been sexually assaulted as adults be more likely to have rape fetishes?
$14K140 tradersResolved
47%
Has Robin Hanson ever pooped himself in public?
$14K66 tradersResolved
—
Who will I date?
$14K105 tradersResolved
—
In my survey (n=625k), did older people report being more polyamorous than younger people?
$13K77 tradersResolved
94%
Do you predict people on my twitter poll would rather lose the ability to sing or swear?
$12K68 tradersResolved
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Will anxiety correlate with any sexual fetish among females in my data?
$12K172 tradersResolved
71%
Will I poop my pants before 2027?
$12K80 tradersResolved
51%
Which spectrum is a stronger predictor of bodycount in women - their economic (yes) or social (no) views?
$11K132 tradersResolved
60%
Will I get covid this week?
$11K55 tradersResolved
2%