Manifold Creator
Ace
@Ace
Markets by Ace
Will multiple credible sources claim GPT-4 is sentient?
$59K46 tradersResolved
1%
Will multiple credible sources claim GPT-5 is sentient?
$2K21 tradersopen
11%
Is slowing down AGI good for AI safety? [resolves to poll]
$2K33 tradersclosed
87%
Will AI existential safety terms come up in the Congressional hearing on May 16th?
$2K24 tradersResolved
77%
Is RLHF good for AI safety? [resolves to poll]
$2K41 tradersclosed
40%
Were the GPT-4 benchmarks contaminated?
$1K24 tradersResolved
69%
Will the 6-month AI pause/moratorium come up in the Congressional hearing on May 16th?
$25013 tradersResolved
75%
What % of studies find that low plant-based margarine prices reduce animal-based butter sales?
$2026 tradersResolved
36%