Manifold Creator
Account deletion requested
@Accountdeletionrequested
Markets by Account deletion requested
Looking for compilation/overview of Russian war crimes in Ukraine, will reward the best ones found
$3K9 tradersResolved
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Will Mariupol fall by May?
$3K50 tradersResolved
3%
Will Putin get killed by the end of 2022?
$2K53 tradersResolved
3%
Will Lukashenko lose power during 2022?
$2K45 tradersResolved
5%
Will Odessa fall before 2023?
$1K12 tradersResolved
15%
What happens when market creator left and question is never resolved?
$1K24 tradersResolved
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Will Russia invade Poland before the end of 2030?
$85412 tradersResolved
2%
Will Yusef question about Dwayne Johnson be resolved correctly? (one about winning 2024 US Presidential Election)
$70116 tradersResolved
15%
Will China Invade Taiwan before 2024?
$67910 tradersResolved
10%
Will Odessa fall before 2024?
$6789 tradersResolved
21%
Will the Moscow stock market mostly re-open by the end of 2023?
$4763 tradersResolved
45%
Will Russia invade any NATO country before the end of 2030?
$42814 tradersResolved
8%
Will the Moscow stock market mostly re-open by the end of June 2022?
$4125 tradersResolved
3%
Will Ukraine recapture the city of Kherson by the end of 2023?
$3429 tradersResolved
67%
More than 2 000 000 refugees moved into Poland by 2022-06-01
$3427 tradersResolved
99%
Is territory of Armenia going to be at least partially occupied by Azerbaijan on 2024-01-01?
$3212 tradersResolved
61%
By the end of 2022 Manifold user will be able to check on the website why their balance changed
$29710 tradersResolved
87%
Will "This Used To Be About Dungeons" get paywall in 2022?
$2249 tradersResolved
13%
By 2022-04-01 Manifold representative will admit that reward function used as of 2022-02-28 results in silly results for nearly impossible/certain events.
$18811 tradersResolved
78%
Has Russia used a hypersonic missile in Ukraine before March 20 2022?
$16914 tradersResolved
98%
More than 5 000 000 refugees moved into Poland by 2022-06-01
$1598 tradersResolved
6%
Will Yusef question about Dwayne Johnson be resolved correctly? (one about winning 2024 US Presidential Election) [CFMM market]
$10812 tradersResolved
19%
I will work on project X today, for at least 2 hours, before 11:00
$1028 tradersResolved
16%
Will it be possible to see result of own past trades on Manifold by 2022-05-01?
$1001 tradersResolved
40%
What is the proper way to make markets asking for features?
$716 tradersResolved
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I will work on project X today, for at least 2 hours
$635 tradersResolved
77%
Is EUR/PLN exchange rate going to reach 5.00 in March 2022?
$301 tradersResolved
50%
I will work on project X today
$274 tradersResolved
52%
I will sent that email within 2 hours of creating this market
$263 tradersResolved
0%
Test market
$201 tradersResolved
100%
What happens when market creator left and question is never resolved?1
$101 tradersResolved
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I will work on project X today
$44 tradersResolved
69%
please delete this account as I requested
$00 tradersResolved
50%
Will Odessa fall before 2023?
$00 tradersResolved
50%