Manifold Creator
AVS
@AVS
Markets by AVS
Will USD/RUB exchange rate stay higher than 100 for at least one week in 2023?
$68K118 tradersResolved
2%
Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?
$59K99 tradersResolved
1%
Will Virgin Galactic have a successful commercial flight before July 1, 2023?
$42K81 tradersResolved
100%
Will YouTube be blocked in Russia before the end of 2024?
$40K92 tradersResolved
3%
Will Israel have a national election for Knesset in 2023?
$30K48 tradersResolved
1%
Will the Black Sea grain deal be extended before July 19, 2023?
$26K44 tradersResolved
0%
Will YouTube be blocked in Russia before the end of 2023?
$23K126 tradersResolved
3%
Will the average USD/RUB exchange rate be higher than 80 between March 19 and March 25, 2023?
$20K25 tradersResolved
0%
Will the Russian Luna-25 mission reach Earth's orbit before September 2, 2023?
$17K42 tradersResolved
99%
Will Wikipedia be blocked in Russia before the end of 2023?
$17K65 tradersResolved
2%
Will Russia successfully land on the Moon with their first attempt?
$16K82 tradersResolved
1%
Will Haifa be successfully attacked by rockets, missiles, mortars, air bombs, or kamikaze drones before the end of 2023?
$15K62 tradersResolved
3%
Who will win the next Russian presidential election?
$15K38 tradersResolved
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Will USD/RUB exchange rate reach an all-time high before the end of 2024?
$15K32 tradersResolved
1%
Will the average USD/RUB exchange rate be higher than 70 between March 19 and March 25, 2023?
$14K15 tradersResolved
100%
Will Google integrate Large Language Model responses directly into Search before August 1, 2023?
$13K25 tradersResolved
0%
Will more than 1,000 rockets, mortars, and missiles be fired at Israel during the second half of 2023?
$12K35 tradersResolved
100%
Will USD/RUB exchange rate stay higher than 150 for at least one week in 2024?
$12K18 tradersResolved
2%
Will Russia legally end the ongoing military mobilization before the end of 2023?
$12K45 tradersResolved
3%
Will Meta launch a Threads web app before October 1, 2023?
$11K30 tradersResolved
99%
How many rockets, mortars, and missiles will be fired at Israel during 2023?
$11K87 tradersResolved
97%
Will a criminal case be initiated against Boris Nadezhdin before the end of 2024?
$11K26 tradersResolved
5%
Will Threads report more monthly active users than Twitter before 2026?
$11K29 tradersclosed
6%
Will Israel cancel or suspend the "grandchild clause" in its Law of Return before January 2025?
$11K21 tradersResolved
4%
Will Haifa be successfully attacked by rockets, missiles, mortars, air bombs, or kamikaze drones before the end of 2024?
$11K36 tradersResolved
99%
Will USD/RUB exchange rate stay higher than 100 for at least one week in 2024?
$9K24 tradersResolved
96%
Will Hamas declare victory against Israel in 2024?
$9K46 tradersResolved
2%
Will the Israeli High Court issue a ruling on the "reasonableness" law before October 1, 2023?
$8K9 tradersResolved
0%
Will Russia declare general mobilization before January 1, 2023?
$8K96 tradersResolved
3%
Will Boris Nadezhdin be declared a foreign agent before the end of 2024?
$8K25 tradersResolved
2%
Will Russia prohibit leaving the country for men of military age before the end of 2023?
$7K50 tradersResolved
3%
Will Russia legally prohibit using VPN services or personal VPNs before the end of 2023?
$7K43 tradersResolved
2%
Will UN condemn Iran within 2 weeks after April 14 attack on Israel?
$7K35 tradersResolved
1%
Will total global corporate investment in AI in 2023 reach $300 billion, according to the Artificial Intelligence Index?
$7K22 tradersResolved
1%
Will more than 200 rockets, mortars, and missiles be fired at Israel in July 2023?
$7K10 tradersResolved
0%
Will the average USD/RUB exchange rate be higher than 80 between December 15 and December 21, 2023?
$7K21 tradersResolved
99%
Will the average USD/RUB exchange rate be higher than 80 between June 18 and June 24, 2023?
$6K19 tradersResolved
100%
If the ICC brings charges against Netanyahu by 2026 (or doesn't), will any of its members announce withdrawal by 2030?
$5K11 tradersopen
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Will Israel be the fourth country to soft-land on the Moon?
$5K15 tradersResolved
1%
Will the average USD/RUB exchange rate be higher than 70 between June 18 and June 24, 2023?
$5K13 tradersResolved
100%