Manifold Creator
AG
@AGG
Markets by AG
Will Donald Trump and Kamala Harris debate again before the election?
$53K131 tradersResolved
1%
Will a hurricane hit the State of Florida any time during the month of September 2023?
$33K108 tradersResolved
1%
Will Sam Bankman-Fried still be speaking at the New York Times / Accenture sponsored DealBook Summit on November 30th at Lincoln Center?
$28K176 tradersResolved
96%
Will Donald Trump be sentenced to prison in September of 2024?
$21K80 tradersResolved
1%
Will President Biden resign his Presidency to Kamala Harris before the newly elected President is installed in January?
$21K60 tradersResolved
1%
Will a new nominee for President emerge from the Democratic National Convention in place of Kamala Harris?
$20K15 tradersResolved
1%
Who will replace Mitch McConnell as Republican Senate Majority Leader?
$18K63 tradersResolved
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Will Kamala Harris accept Elon Musk's invitation to have a chat on X before the election?
$13K54 tradersResolved
2%
If dockworkers union goes on strike, will the strike last more than a week?
$11K31 tradersResolved
3%
Will someone try to hurt Barron Trump at NYU this year?
$10K60 tradersResolved
6%
Will any member of Joe Biden's family be indicted for bribery and payoffs from foreign governments by 12/31/2024?
$9K49 tradersResolved
3%
Will the dockworkers union go on strike between now and Friday?
$8K15 tradersResolved
98%
Will they find the person who tried to assassinate President Trump before the end of this year?
$8K12 tradersResolved
98%
Will Ron DeSantis drop out of the Presidential race before the Republican National Convention, slated for 7/15-18/ 2024?
$7K24 tradersResolved
99%
Will I attain a 60 day Prediction Streak on Manifold?
$7K11 tradersResolved
100%
Will King Charles permanently exile Prince Harry from the UK by 11:59pm 12/31/24?
$7K33 tradersResolved
1%
Will the Nati'l Institute on Alcohol Abuse & Alcoholism & CDC introduce stricter alcohol consumption guidelines by 2025?
$6K43 tradersclosed
6%
Will House Republicans begin an Impeachment Inquiry into President Joe Biden between now and 6/30/24?
$5K51 tradersResolved
93%
Will the viewership for the Republican debate on 8/23/23 be higher than Trump’s interview with Tucker Carlson on X?
$4K29 tradersResolved
5%
Will I attain a 50 day Prediction Streak on Manifold? Am currently at 44.
$4K17 tradersResolved
97%
Will Elon Musk go through with his thermonuclear lawsuit against Media Matters on Monday, November 20, 2023?
$4K34 tradersResolved
70%
Dollar Tree is changing their price cap to $7.00 per item. Will they be changing their name some time in 2024?
$3K15 tradersResolved
3%
Is North Korea going to send 300,000-500,000 troops to Russia to assist them in defending against Ukraine, US and NATO?
$2K18 tradersResolved
4%
Will Michael Avenatti testify for Trump in the Stormy Daniels trial?
$2K7 tradersResolved
1%
Will we have WWIII before January 1st 2023?
$2K45 tradersResolved
1%
Will Hurricane Milton cause a 12’ or higher storm surge anywhere along the Florida Coast?
$2K29 tradersResolved
4%
Will the death toll in Gaza reach 10,000 by the end of 2023?
$2K10 tradersResolved
97%
Will Special Master, Raymond Dearie, appointed by U.S. District Judge Aileen Cannon to review documents seized by the FBI at Trump's Mar A Lago home, find that the FBI incorrectly seized documents that were covered by Executive Privilege and Attorney/Client privilege, as claimed by the Trump administration, by 12/31/23?
$2K17 tradersResolved
4%
Will Trump become Speaker of the House?
$1K6 tradersResolved
1%
Will Elon Musk win Time's 2022 Person of the Year?
$1K19 tradersResolved
4%
Will SCOTUS determine that the DOJ & Judges misapplied a corporate fraud statute against J6ers & overturn it? See below.
$1K9 tradersResolved
98%
Will Yale's failure to disclose 15 million in Qatari funding, precipitate a Federal investigation? *See below Info*
$1K10 tradersclosed
25%
Will President Biden resign before the end of 2022.
$1K33 tradersResolved
3%
Will Joe Biden have to sit down at any point during the State of the Union address tonight, March 7th, 2024.
$1K18 tradersResolved
8%
Will Hurricane Milton cause a 12’ or higher storm surge anywhere along the Florida Coast?
$77826 tradersResolved
2%
Will I break my streak some time in 2024?
$7698 tradersResolved
89%
Could the illegal immigrant encounter at the U.S. border reach 3 million by the end of 2023?
$7657 tradersResolved
2%
Will Tucker Carlson create a new Independent Media Company by 12/31/24?
$5749 tradersResolved
93%
Will Nicholas Biase, Dept of Justice Public Affairs Chief of SDOf NY stay alive til 12-31-24 after lawfare revelations?
$5407 tradersResolved
67%
If Trump appeals the verdict ordering him to pay $83.3 million in defamation damages to E.Jean Carroll, will he win?
$52115 tradersclosed
23%