Manifold Creator
ACX Bot
@ACXBot
Markets by ACX Bot
36. Will Tether de-peg in 2023?
$1.1M257 tradersResolved
1%
1. Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2023?
$519K1,460 tradersResolved
99%
21. Will Donald Trump make at least one tweet in 2023?
$462K869 tradersResolved
100%
23. Will Donald Trump get indicted on criminal charges in 2023?
$445K389 tradersResolved
99%
17. At the end of 2023, will prediction markets say Donald Trump is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024?
$294K810 tradersResolved
99%
32. Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2023?
$289K354 tradersResolved
1%
14. Will there be more than 25 million confirmed COVID cases in China by the end of 2023?
$273K251 tradersResolved
17%
8. Will a nuclear weapon be detonated (including tests and accidents) in 2023?
$247K461 tradersResolved
1%
44. Will Google, Meta, Amazon, or Apple release an AR headset in 2023?
$215K246 tradersResolved
98%
40. Will SpaceX's Starship complete orbit (read desc) in 2023?
$197K475 tradersResolved
1%
19. Will the Supreme Court rule against affirmative action in 2023?
$187K134 tradersResolved
100%
11. Will any new country join NATO in 2023?
$146K397 tradersResolved
100%
6. Will the Kerch Bridge be destroyed, such that no vehicle can pass over in 2023?
$131K216 tradersResolved
1%
38. Will any FAANG or Musk company accept crypto as a payment at the end of 2023?
$129K486 tradersResolved
2%
47. Will a successful deepfake attempt causing real damage make the front page of a major news source in 2023?
$128K256 tradersResolved
90%
35. Will Bitcoin end 2023 above $30,000?
$91K246 tradersResolved
98%
5. Will there be a lasting cease-fire in the Russia-Ukraine war in 2023?
$91K315 tradersResolved
1%
31. Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2023?
$77K231 tradersResolved
99%
7. Will an issue involving a nuclear power plant in Ukraine require evacuation of a populated area in 2023?
$76K152 tradersResolved
1%
18. At the end of 2023, will prediction markets say Ron DeSantis is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024?
$76K224 tradersResolved
1%
10. Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan in 2023?
$71K355 tradersResolved
2%
30. Will US CPI inflation for 2023 average above 4% in 2023?
$67K155 tradersResolved
3%
37. Will the US unemployment rate (now 3.7%) be above 4% in November 2023?
$64K204 tradersResolved
0%
41. Will an image model win Scott Alexander’s bet on compositionality, to Edwin Chen’s satisfaction, in 2023?
$59K187 tradersResolved
62%
50. Will someone release "DALL-E, but for videos" in 2023?
$59K202 tradersResolved
95%
13. Will any other war have more casualties than Russia-Ukraine in 2023?
$58K185 tradersResolved
1%
11. Will Gamestop’s stock price still be above $100 at the end of 2022?
$52K137 tradersResolved
1%
34. Will Bitcoin go up over 2023?
$50K167 tradersResolved
99%
42. Will COVID kill at least 50% as many people in 2023 as it did in 2022?
$50K141 tradersResolved
2%
29. Will Twitter's average monetizable daily users be higher in 2023 than in 2022?
$48K148 tradersResolved
16%
46. Will a cultured meat product be available in at least one US store or restaurant for less than $30 at the end of 2023?
$46K174 tradersResolved
4%
22. Will Joe Biden have a positive (approval minus dispproval) rating at the end of 2023?
$45K138 tradersResolved
2%
15. At the end of 2023, will prediction markets say Joe Biden is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024?
$45K180 tradersResolved
99%
27. Will Elon Musk remain owner of Twitter at the end of 2023?
$43K166 tradersResolved
99%
12. Will Ali Khameini cease to be Supreme Leader of Iran in 2023?
$43K132 tradersResolved
2%
28. Will Twitter's net income be higher in 2023 than in 2022?
$39K375 tradersResolved
10%
25. Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK at the end of 2023?
$36K135 tradersResolved
99%
49. Will AI win a programming competition in 2023?
$34K229 tradersResolved
3%
9. Will a nuclear weapon be used in war (ie not a test or accident) and kill at least 10 people in 2023?
$33K153 tradersResolved
1%
13. Will Ethereum be above $5k at the end of 2022?
$33K142 tradersResolved
2%