Manifold Creator
Fold Habits Die Hard
@4fa
Markets by Fold Habits Die Hard
Do you like 95% odds?
$68K116 tradersResolved
95%
How many views will 3Blue1Brown's "How might LLMs store facts | Chapter 7, Deep Learning" video have after 1 month?
$39K46 tradersResolved
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Do you like 24% odds?
$23K26 tradersResolved
24%
Add answers: What will be the first digit of the number of electoral votes that Trump* will win in 2024?
$18K51 tradersResolved
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Open answer: How many electoral votes will the Democratic presidential candidate win in 2024?
$13K29 tradersResolved
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Open answer: How many electoral votes will Trump* win in 2024?
$12K56 tradersResolved
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Do you like 4% odds?
$12K22 tradersResolved
4%
Do you like 92% odds?
$8K37 tradersResolved
91%
Do you like 28% odds?
$8K47 tradersResolved
28%
Do you like 8% odds?
$7K25 tradersResolved
9%
🗓 For which X will this market get X^2 traders after X weeks?
$6K19 tradersResolved
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Open Answer: What will be the (absolute) Electoral College margin in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
$6K21 tradersResolved
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Do you like 52% odds?
$6K40 tradersResolved
51%
Swiss popular vote on 22.09.24: Biodiversity Initiative
$5K2 tradersResolved
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Do you like 5% odds?
$5K40 tradersResolved
5%
Will this question get 1000 traders in 1000 days?
$5K51 tradersopen
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Do you like 96% odds?
$5K22 tradersResolved
96%
On which days in 2026 will Donald Trump be alive?
$5K35 tradersopen
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On which days in 2025 will Donald Trump be alive?
$5K37 tradersResolved
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Do you like 72% odds?
$4K28 tradersResolved
72%
🏈 Los Angeles Chargers : Kansas City Chiefs (September 5, 2025)
$3K17 tradersResolved
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Short fuse: For which X will this market get X^2 traders after X days?
$3K17 tradersResolved
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Changing Odds: Drawing 5 numbers on 4 days, on which day will the median be drawn?
$2K10 tradersResolved
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How often will 6d6 roll a number greater than or equal to this market's expected value at close?
$2K18 tradersResolved
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For which N will this market get N^2 traders after N months?
$2K16 tradersResolved
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Biased Coin Flip
$2K32 tradersResolved
74%
Do you like 16% odds?
$2K22 tradersResolved
16%
How much longer to reach 20 traders compared to 10?
$2K20 tradersResolved
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Do you like 10% odds?
$2K26 tradersResolved
9%
Philadelphia Eagles VS Dallas Cowboys (September 4, 2025)
$2K25 tradersResolved
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How many views will 3Blue1Brown's topology video reach by January 29, 2025?
$2K19 tradersResolved
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▶️ How many views will 3Blue1Brown's "colliding blocks that compute pi" video have in three weeks (21 April)?
$2K16 tradersResolved
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How many views will 3Blue1Brown's video "How are holograms possible? | Optics puzzles 5" have after 4 weeks?
$2K11 tradersResolved
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MrBeast subscriber milestones until Jan 1, 2026, 8 p.m. UTC?
$2K9 tradersResolved
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How many views will 3Blue1Brown's video "Why 4D Geometry Makes Me Sad" have at the end of November?
$2K12 tradersResolved
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Is the shrinking cut-off in Diamond League fully intentional? 🎖 💎 💿
$2K24 tradersResolved
9%
Dairy Coin Flip
$2K24 tradersResolved
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How many human cases of H5N1 in the US will there be by the end of 2025?
$2K14 tradersResolved
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▶️ How many views will 3Blue1Brown's second video with Terence Tao, Distance Ladder Part 2, have in one month (3 April)?
$2K13 tradersResolved
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Which Roman numerals will the next pope's papal name contain?
$1K21 tradersResolved
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