Manifold Creator
Dark Speculator
@0482
Markets by Dark Speculator
Will Nvidia stock crash before the S&P500?
$13K53 tradersResolved
98%
Will we have a free chatbot that can reliably solve "what weight more" questions by end of 2024?
$12K44 tradersResolved
95%
Will X / Twitter become inaccessible in Europe during 2024?
$12K19 tradersResolved
1%
Will we have AI that can explain chess moves logic in human language by 2030?
$6K41 tradersopen
96%
Will AI pass Video Turing Test by 2030?
$5K27 tradersopen
68%
To the moon: will Bitcoin reach 1,000,000 before a man walk of the moon?
$5K19 tradersopen
7%
What will be the next major event for Anthropic?
$4K38 tradersopen
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What will be the next major event for SpaceX?
$4K20 tradersopen
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Which prompts will free-tier image generation be able to produce by end of 2024?
$3K17 tradersResolved
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Will there be a critical vulnerability discovered by AI by the end of 2025?
$2K40 tradersResolved
70%
Will Netflix announce they have in-house video generating AI by 2024 end?
$2K32 tradersResolved
7%
When will PHP die?
$2K33 tradersopen
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Will any Israeli coalition member call for Netanyahu resignation during 2024?
$1K10 tradersResolved
4%
Will Gemini generate human faces by end of April?
$1K3 tradersResolved
1%
Will vue.js bypass JQuery in popularity by 2030?
$1K14 tradersopen
95%
Will there be Netflix app for Apple Vision pro by end of 2025?
$1K9 tradersResolved
1%
When will Python 2 finally die?
$1K36 tradersopen
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What will be the peak U.S. government debt to GDP ratio, 2020-2030?
$1K9 tradersopen
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Will we have laundry folding machine by 2030?
$1K21 tradersopen
69%
Will OpenAI officially mention Q* model before 1.1.2025?
$98219 tradersResolved
9%
What will be the next major event for Stripe?
$96015 tradersopen
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Will there be less than 350 million people in extreme poverty by 2030?
$87422 tradersopen
26%
If X happens by EOY 2024, will Netanyahu be replaced as prime minister by EOY 2025?
$8628 tradersResolved
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What will be the next major event for Midjourney?
$79334 tradersopen
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What will be the next major event for Wiz?
$7202 tradersopen
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Will there be Spotify app for Apple Vision pro by end of 2025?
$56811 tradersResolved
16%
What will be the results of Israel's next election?
$56322 tradersopen
—
Will there be YouTube app for Apple Vision pro by end of 2025?
$4667 tradersResolved
4%
What will be the next major event for Character.ai?
$45214 tradersopen
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What will be the next major event for Databricks?
$41910 tradersopen
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What will be the next major event for Discord?
$40812 tradersopen
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Will Gemini answer unpolitical Gaza-related questions by end of 2024?
$3377 tradersResolved
64%
What will be the next major event for OnlyFans?
$1858 tradersopen
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what will be the next major event of Mistral.ai startup?
$16812 tradersopen
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What will be the biggest Israeli company on 1/1/2025?
$1656 tradersResolved
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Will we get "chess AGI" by 2030?
$1467 tradersopen
80%
Will any Nvidia acquisition be strack down by a regulator by end of 2025?
$652 tradersResolved
29%
What will be the next major event for NSO group?
$604 tradersopen
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What will be the next major event for Flow?
$535 tradersopen
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What will be the next major event for Redis?
$473 tradersopen
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