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xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by FJune 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markets
4
Total Volume
$21K
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$1K
Comments
2
Markets (4)
resolved
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam?
$13K vol · $192 liq
46.5%
-1.0¢
resolved
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?
$5K vol · $504 liq
46.0%
+1.0¢
resolved
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Exam?
$3K vol · $354 liq
29.0%
resolved
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
$170 vol · $457 liq
16.0%
+1.0¢