technologyai

Military action against Iran ends on...?

This market will resolve according to the next date Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30), on which neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If strikes could be verified under the prior rule for each listed day, this market will resolve to "Military action continues through March 31." For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify). Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Markets
22
Total Volume
$2.9M
24h Volume
$191K
Liquidity
$119K

Markets (22)

Military action through March 31active

Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?

$725K vol · $78K liq
98.6%
March 31active

Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?

$419K vol · $22K liq
0.9%
March 28resolved

Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026?

$349K vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 27resolved

Military action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026?

$340K vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 29resolved

Military action against Iran ends on March 29, 2026?

$338K vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 26resolved

Military action against Iran ends on March 26, 2026?

$326K vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 30active

Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?

$294K vol · $19K liq
0.5%
March 14resolved

Military action against Iran ends on March 14, 2026?

$133K vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 18resolved

Military action against Iran ends on March 18, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 25resolved

Military action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 15resolved

Military action against Iran ends on March 15, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 19resolved

Military action against Iran ends on March 19, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 22resolved

Military action against Iran ends on March 22, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 11resolved

Military action against Iran ends on March 11, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 23resolved

Military action against Iran ends on March 23, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 16resolved

Military action against Iran ends on March 16, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 12resolved

Military action against Iran ends on March 12, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 17resolved

Military action against Iran ends on March 17, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 20resolved

Military action against Iran ends on March 20, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 21resolved

Military action against Iran ends on March 21, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 24resolved

Military action against Iran ends on March 24, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 13resolved

Military action against Iran ends on March 13, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
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