technologyai

Military action against Iran ends by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify). Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Markets
25
Total Volume
$448K
24h Volume
$51K
Liquidity
$40K

Markets (25)

March 31resolved

Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?

$121K vol · $0 liq
0.0%
April 15active

Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?

$90K vol · $10K liq
92.0%
+1.5¢
April 30active

Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?

$59K vol · $11K liq
92.0%
-3.5¢
March 29resolved

Military action against Iran ends by March 29, 2026?

$43K vol · $0 liq
0.0%
May 31active

Military action against Iran ends by May 31, 2026?

$26K vol · $10K liq
93.0%
-2.1¢
March 30resolved

Military action against Iran ends by March 30, 2026?

$26K vol · $0 liq
0.0%
June 30active

Military action against Iran ends by June 30, 2026?

$25K vol · $10K liq
93.5%
-1.5¢
March 28resolved

Military action against Iran ends by March 28, 2026?

$24K vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 26resolved

Military action against Iran ends by March 26, 2026?

$20K vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 27resolved

Military action against Iran ends by March 27, 2026?

$15K vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 21resolved

Military action against Iran ends by March 21, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 25resolved

Military action against Iran ends by March 25, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 14resolved

Military action against Iran ends by March 14, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 18resolved

Military action against Iran ends by March 18, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 22resolved

Military action against Iran ends by March 22, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 13resolved

Military action against Iran ends by March 13, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 16resolved

Military action against Iran ends by March 16, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 20resolved

Military action against Iran ends by March 20, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 24resolved

Military action against Iran ends by March 24, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 11resolved

Military action against Iran ends by March 11, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 15resolved

Military action against Iran ends by March 15, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 19resolved

Military action against Iran ends by March 19, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 23resolved

Military action against Iran ends by March 23, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 12resolved

Military action against Iran ends by March 12, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
March 17resolved

Military action against Iran ends by March 17, 2026?

$0 vol · $0 liq
0.0%
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