uncategorized
How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Markets
10
Total Volume
$109K
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$118K
Markets (10)
700-800kactive
Will Trump deport 700-800k people?
$40K vol · $16K liq
1.4%
+0.1¢
300-400kactive
Will Trump deport 300-400k people?
$14K vol · $16K liq
20.5%
-1.5¢
800-900kactive
Will Trump deport 800-900k people?
$12K vol · $6K liq
1.2%
200-300kactive
Will Trump deport 200-300k people?
$8K vol · $13K liq
12.0%
+0.5¢
<200kactive
Will Trump deport less than 200k people?
$8K vol · $16K liq
2.3%
400-500kactive
Will Trump deport 400-500k people?
$6K vol · $15K liq
38.0%
+0.5¢
900k-1mactive
Will Trump deport 900k-1m people?
$6K vol · $6K liq
1.2%
>1mactive
Will Trump deport more than 1m people?
$6K vol · $8K liq
1.0%
500-600kactive
Will Trump deport 500-600k people?
$5K vol · $12K liq
15.0%
+0.4¢
600-700kactive
Will Trump deport 600-700k people?
$5K vol · $15K liq
2.0%
-0.1¢