Least
All prediction markets related to Least
Markets
100
Active
35
Total Volume
$3.0M
politicsResolved
2022 Hungarian elections: Will Fidesz win at least 113 parliamentary seats?
$17K volume
100.0%
politicsResolved
Democratic Margin of victory in VA-11 special election at least 45%?
$80K volume
100.0%
technologyResolved
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 10%?
$32K volume
0.0%
technologyResolved
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 15%?
$91K volume
0.0%
technologyResolved
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 20%?
$73K volume
0.0%
technologyResolved
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 25%?
$76K volume
0.0%
Resolved
Poker: Will Phil Ivey place 1st in at least one event at Triton Series Madrid 2022?
$2K volume
0.0%
Resolved
Poker: Will Tom Dwan place 1st in at least one event at Triton Series Madrid 2022?
$638 volume
100.0%
Resolved
Triton Poker: Will Jason Koon place 1st in at least one event?
$4K volume
0.0%
Resolved
Triton Poker: Will Phil Ivey place 1st in at least one event?
$11K volume
100.0%
sportsResolved
UFC 285: Will there be at least 4 finishes on the main card?
$475 volume
100.0%
Resolved
Will 100 million Americans have received at least one 'booster shot' of the COVID-19 vaccine by May 1?
$10K volume
100.0%
Resolved
Will 18 million Americans have received at least one 'booster shot' of the COVID-19 vaccine by November 4th?
$25K volume
100.0%
Resolved
Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by July 5?
$11K volume
0.0%
Resolved
Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by September 1?
$25K volume
100.0%
Resolved
Will 227 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 1?
$30K volume
0.0%
Resolved
Will 227.5 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15?
$6K volume
0.0%
Resolved
Will 229 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15?
$90K volume
0.0%
Resolved
Will 229.5 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 29?
$1K volume
100.0%
Resolved
Will 231 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 29?
$958 volume
100.0%
Resolved
Will 246 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by January 1, 2022?
$40K volume
0.0%
Resolved
Will 248 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by January 1, 2022?
$15K volume
0.0%
Resolved
Will 25 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 50% of residents by July 5?
$2K volume
100.0%
Resolved
Will "28 Years Later: The Bone Temple" score at least 89 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
$8K volume
100.0%
Resolved
Will "28 Years Later: The Bone Temple" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
$4K volume
100.0%
Resolved
Will "28 Years Later: The Bone Temple" score at least 93 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
$5K volume
100.0%
Resolved
Will "28 Years Later: The Bone Temple" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
$5K volume
0.0%
Resolved
Will "28 Years Later: The Bone Temple" score at least 97 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
$3K volume
0.0%
Resolved
Will 30 million Americans have received at least one 'booster shot' of the COVID-19 vaccine by November 10th?
$3K volume
0.0%
politics
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win at least 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?
$371 volume
5.5%
Resolved
Will 'Actually Romantic' be the least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10th?
$10K volume
0.0%
politics
Will Alfonso López Chau win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?
$7K volume
0.1%
politics
Will Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
$14K volume
2.3%
Resolved
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
$45K volume
100.0%
Resolved
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
$97K volume
100.0%
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
$136K volume
23.0%
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
$2K volume
8.0%
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
$4K volume
4.4%
politicsResolved
Will Anca Alexandrescu get at least 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?
$36K volume
0.0%
politicsResolved
Will André Ventura win the first round by at least 4%?
$25K volume
0.0%
Will "Animal Farm" score at least 15 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
$209 volume
99.4%
Will "Animal Farm" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
$541 volume
99.2%
Will "Animal Farm" score at least 25 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
$493 volume
13.0%
Will "Animal Farm" score at least 30 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
$23 volume
10.1%
Will "Animal Farm" score at least 35 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
$60 volume
33.1%
Will "Animal Farm" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
$712 volume
0.4%
Resolved
Will another song be the least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10th?
$0 volume
0.0%
politicsResolved
Will António José Seguro win the second round by at least 50%?
$390K volume
0.0%
technologyResolved
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?
$34K volume
100.0%
technology
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
$31K volume
26.5%
technology
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
$18K volume
13.0%
technology
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?
$7K volume
10.5%
technology
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?
$5K volume
8.5%
Resolved
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?
$23K volume
100.0%
Resolved
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam?
$12K volume
100.0%
Resolved
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Exam?
$12K volume
100.0%
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
$18K volume
36.5%
technologyResolved
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?
$382K volume
0.0%
technologyResolved
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1600 on LMArena by December 31?
$74K volume
0.0%
technologyResolved
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Exam?
$0 volume
100.0%
technologyResolved
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
$0 volume
100.0%
technology
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?
$26K volume
56.0%
technology
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?
$10K volume
15.3%
technology
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?
$5K volume
46.0%
technology
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam?
$13K volume
46.5%
technology
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
$170 volume
16.0%
technology
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Exam?
$3K volume
29.0%
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be at least $5.25B at market close on IPO day?
$10 volume
10.5%
sports
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be at least 45%?
$1K volume
7.2%
Resolved
Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be at least 1.1m?
$2K volume
0.0%
Resolved
Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be at least 6m?
$46K volume
0.0%
Resolved
Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
$119K volume
100.0%
Will at least 25 albums be ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?
$587 volume
22.5%
cryptoResolved
Will at least 2 of the next 3 Bitcoin hourly candles be up?
$940 volume
100.0%
Resolved
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
$119K volume
100.0%
Resolved
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
$152K volume
100.0%
Resolved
Will at least 85% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
$18K volume
100.0%
Resolved
Will at least 90% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
$29K volume
100.0%
Resolved
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
$85K volume
100.0%
politicsResolved
Will at least 95 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?
$70K volume
100.0%
Resolved
Will at least 99% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
$41K volume
0.0%
Resolved
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
$12K volume
100.0%
Resolved
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
$23K volume
100.0%
Resolved
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
$30K volume
0.0%
Resolved
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
$25K volume
0.0%
Resolved
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
$16K volume
0.0%
Will "Backrooms" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
$220 volume
99.5%
Will "Backrooms" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
$302 volume
99.5%
Will "Backrooms" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
$334 volume
99.5%
Will "Backrooms" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
$340 volume
90.5%
politicsResolved
Will Baluta win by at least 12%?
$8K volume
0.0%
Resolved
Will Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust's market cap be at least $2.25B at market close on IPO day?
$2K volume
0.0%
sports
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be at least 7.00%?
$4K volume
3.2%
economics
Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be at least 2.7%?
$3K volume
0.3%
economicsResolved
Will Brazil’s Q4 2025 GDP growth rate (YoY) be at least 2.4%?
$651 volume
0.0%
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be at least 300k?
$2K volume
0.4%
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be at least 900k?
$5K volume
0.4%
sports
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.0%?
$357 volume
36.3%
Resolved
Will 'CANCELLED!' be the least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10th?
$8K volume
0.0%
Resolved
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?
$90K volume
0.0%