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XCFGEWGYT34

0x1cf168...82ea97
#14780 overall · top 70.17%
Smart Score
6
Win Rate
55.8%
Total P&L
-$12
Trade Count
462
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02
Sortino Ratio
-0.07
Max Drawdown
1016.9%
ROI
-0.3%
Profit Factor
0.65
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
05.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY84.0¢10.714Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ETSELL99.9¢13.13Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ETBUY99.0¢13.131Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL90.7¢8.81Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY90.8¢8.811Mar 5
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL93.1¢7.52Mar 5
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY93.3¢7.503Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETBUY99.2¢20.161Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL94.5¢6.34Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ETSELL99.9¢10.2Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL97.5¢8.21Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL83.7¢5.98Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY83.7¢5.974Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ETBUY98.0¢10.204Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL91.1¢5.48Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY91.2¢5.482Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL96.7¢10.34Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY96.8¢10.331Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ETBUY99.0¢10.101Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.5¢6.57Mar 4

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%14%50–70%10%70–80%10%80–90%63%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing5.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.32
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.3%
Win Consistency41.9%
Profit Factor0.15
Drawdown Resilience0.12
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.12
Weekly Sharpe est.0.09
Trading Activity462 trades · 38 active days
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$44110d profit28d loss
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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Preview data · updated daily · full equity curve & more at accrue.com/platform