wxnzwqx

0x6abae1...e05efd@wxnztd

Smart Score

Win Rate

61.9%

Total P&L

+$133

Trade Count

132

Sharpe Ratio

1.22

Sortino Ratio

5.29

Max Drawdown

879.2%

ROI

79.9%

Profit Factor

6.72

Kelly Fraction

0.527

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

047.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	42.0¢	6.62	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	56.0¢	4.99	Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	16.0¢	12.59	Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	83.0¢	3.84	Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	74.0¢	1.37	Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	25.8¢	3.42	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	19.0¢	17.98	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	80.0¢	5.06	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	99.9¢	2.1	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	57.0¢	4.34	Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	81.0¢	1.28	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	51.0¢	1.96	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	42.0¢	9.09	Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	17.0¢	4	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	48.0¢	2	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	62.0¢	4.91	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	37.0¢	7.5	Mar 5
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	SELL	2.2¢	17.85	Mar 5
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	SELL	97.7¢	2.06	Mar 5
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	89.1¢	1.13	Mar 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing47.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.61

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)43.2%

Win Consistency46.3%

Profit Factor1.23

Drawdown Resilience1.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.76

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