Accrue
Log inGet Access

0xf29668...7b84f6

0xf29668...7b84f6
#10223 overall · top 48.54%
Smart Score
20
Win Rate
21.4%
Total P&L
-$1.4K
Trade Count
33
Sharpe Ratio
0.89
Sortino Ratio
18.53
Max Drawdown
628.4%
ROI
-10.2%
Profit Factor
0.60
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
019.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY38.7¢252.403Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?SELL12.0¢812.11Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY42.9¢1,690.859Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?SELL24.0¢3,035.29Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY66.0¢508.215Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY53.6¢632.478Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY62.3¢536.124Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY55.0¢179.636Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?BUY48.0¢630.688Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY39.0¢1,177.983Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL99.8¢1,852.38Mar 1
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY62.5¢812.971Feb 28
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?BUY16.0¢1,061.426Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY61.0¢409.836Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY47.0¢1,442.553Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY2.8¢2,357.143Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY4.6¢21.739Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?BUY34.8¢711.743Feb 21
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY57.0¢1,644.6Feb 18
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL17.0¢5,541.67Feb 18

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%19%10–20%15%20–30%31%30–50%27%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing19.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.09
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.1%
Win Consistency28.6%
Profit Factor0.52
Drawdown Resilience0.42
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.42
Weekly Sharpe est.0.32
Trading Activity33 trades · 10 active days
JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4,4853d profit7d loss
JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

Copy this trader

Preview data · updated daily · full equity curve & more at accrue.com/platform