0xdfc6f9...c96b84

Smart Score

Win Rate

42.9%

Total P&L

-$2.4K

Trade Count

200

Sharpe Ratio

0.86

Sortino Ratio

1.62

Max Drawdown

530050.1%

ROI

-18.6%

Profit Factor

0.51

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

012.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	51.0¢	41.29	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	14.2¢	221.5	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	BUY	26.0¢	3.846	Mar 4
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	BUY	17.0¢	88.235	Feb 28
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	BUY	64.9¢	92.45	Feb 28
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	BUY	69.9¢	715.315	Feb 28
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	BUY	69.9¢	715.373	Feb 28
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	BUY	50.4¢	991.66	Feb 28
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	BUY	34.0¢	883.041	Feb 28
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	BUY	34.9¢	860	Feb 28
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	BUY	29.3¢	682.735	Feb 28
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	BUY	25.0¢	801.372	Feb 28
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	BUY	12.1¢	828.635	Feb 28
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	BUY	12.0¢	834.255	Feb 28
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	BUY	12.0¢	835.213	Feb 28
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	BUY	10.0¢	1,245.882	Feb 28
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	SELL	60.0¢	181.84	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	60.5¢	41.29	Feb 28
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	BUY	38.3¢	260.962	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	38.0¢	131.579	Feb 28

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing12.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.69

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.5%

Win Consistency51.4%

Profit Factor0.33

Drawdown Resilience0.26

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.26

Weekly Sharpe est.0.20

Trading Activity200 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$5,2441d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

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