0xd8aa77...c2da56

Smart Score

Win Rate

60.0%

Total P&L

+$7.0K

Trade Count

344

Sharpe Ratio

-0.26

Sortino Ratio

-0.27

Max Drawdown

1024.2%

ROI

3.7%

Profit Factor

1.50

Kelly Fraction

0.201

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

013.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	97.5¢	29.559	Feb 13
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	96.6¢	5,324.503	Feb 13
Government shutdown on Saturday?	SELL	29.0¢	17,866.56	Feb 13
Government shutdown on Saturday?	BUY	88.0¢	6,774.8	Feb 13
Government shutdown on Saturday?	BUY	88.7¢	379.56	Feb 13
Government shutdown on Saturday?	BUY	88.7¢	10	Feb 13
Government shutdown on Saturday?	BUY	88.7¢	5,000	Feb 13
Government shutdown on Saturday?	BUY	88.5¢	610.44	Feb 13
Government shutdown on Saturday?	BUY	88.5¢	5,000	Feb 13
Government shutdown on Saturday?	BUY	89.6¢	91.76	Feb 13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	92.0¢	17,210.86	Feb 13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	93.0¢	16,030.075	Feb 12
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	SELL	95.1¢	15,832.66	Feb 11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	92.0¢	1,180.793	Feb 11
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	11.0¢	10,000	Feb 11
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	95.6¢	541.79	Feb 7
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	95.6¢	17.73	Feb 7
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	95.6¢	3.49	Feb 7
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	95.6¢	14.97	Feb 7
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	95.6¢	15.2	Feb 7

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing13.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.73

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.0%

Win Consistency53.3%

Profit Factor0.34

Drawdown Resilience0.28

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.28

Weekly Sharpe est.0.21

Trading Activity344 trades · 24 active days

P&L Calendar

$72,4716d profit18d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

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