0x98c960...423ded

Smart Score

Win Rate

80.4%

Total P&L

-$33

Trade Count

538

Sharpe Ratio

-3.01

Sortino Ratio

-4.31

Max Drawdown

318039.9%

ROI

-3.8%

Profit Factor

0.50

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

02.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	41.0¢	1.32	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	25.0¢	1.34	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	74.0¢	0.05	Mar 5
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?	SELL	90.3¢	0.92	Mar 5
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	SELL	71.0¢	2.43	Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.7¢	2.17	Mar 5
Will Darren Bailey win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?	SELL	95.1¢	2.25	Mar 5
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	SELL	96.3¢	2.31	Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	94.5¢	3.48	Mar 5
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	SELL	98.8¢	4.09	Mar 5
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	SELL	97.4¢	4.31	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	SELL	50.0¢	8.51	Mar 5
Will Don Tracy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?	SELL	88.0¢	8.75	Mar 5
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	97.7¢	10.14	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	83.0¢	1.325	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	82.0¢	1.341	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	17.0¢	0.05	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	17.0¢	0.1	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	17.0¢	7.31	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	17.0¢	0.01	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing2.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.13

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.2%

Win Consistency31.9%

Profit Factor0.06

Drawdown Resilience0.05

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.05

Weekly Sharpe est.0.04

Trading Activity538 trades · 28 active days

P&L Calendar

$4365d profit23d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

Preview data · updated daily · full equity curve & more at accrue.com/platform