0x8aa500...4427ef

#3151 overall · top 14.96%

Smart Score

Win Rate

25.0%

Total P&L

+$6

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.25

Sortino Ratio

4.00

Max Drawdown

63.9%

ROI

18.7%

Profit Factor

3.22

Kelly Fraction

0.172

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

046.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	6.7¢	14.925	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 5?	SELL	12.1¢	4.78	Mar 5
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	5.0¢	14.28	Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	1.8¢	55.556	Mar 5
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	13.0¢	7.69	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 5?	BUY	20.9¢	4.785	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	13.8¢	7.246	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	85.6¢	8.33	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	60.0¢	8.333	Mar 3
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	33.0¢	2.56	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	13.0¢	7.692	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	28.2¢	1.81	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	55.3¢	1.808	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	0.3¢	7	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	5.0¢	44.72	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	3.9¢	51.727	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	36.7¢	4.03	Mar 1
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	7.0¢	14.286	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	7.0¢	9.09	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	24.8¢	4.032	Mar 1

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing46.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.54

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)41.9%

Win Consistency33.3%

Profit Factor1.20

Drawdown Resilience0.97

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.97

Weekly Sharpe est.0.74

Trading Activity24 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$43d profit2d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

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