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0x717eb2...b91041

0x717eb2...b91041
#15673 overall · top 74.41%
Smart Score
4
Win Rate
40.0%
Total P&L
+$2
Trade Count
122
Sharpe Ratio
-2.06
Sortino Ratio
-2.09
Max Drawdown
9011.0%
ROI
0.7%
Profit Factor
1.66
Kelly Fraction
0.158
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
03.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY19.0¢96.21Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL65.0¢11.7Mar 5
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY15.2¢85.94Mar 5
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY19.0¢62.21Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL5.0¢30.29Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY74.0¢11.7Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY82.0¢17.79Mar 4
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?SELL76.0¢12.93Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8?SELL33.0¢3.26Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8?SELL33.0¢20.03Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY49.9¢28.35Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8?SELL33.1¢10Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8?BUY25.9¢33.3Mar 4
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY68.0¢21.48Mar 4
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY19.0¢49.72Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?SELL47.0¢5.72Mar 4
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?BUY72.0¢12.93Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY76.0¢5.01Mar 3
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL5.3¢24.79Mar 3
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY5.0¢22.91Mar 2

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%48%< 10%13%10–20%7%20–30%17%30–50%4%50–70%4%70–80%80–90%5%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing3.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.19
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.2%
Win Consistency40.0%
Profit Factor0.09
Drawdown Resilience0.07
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.07
Weekly Sharpe est.0.06
Trading Activity122 trades · 5 active days
JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1480d profit5d loss
JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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