0x717eb2...b91041

Smart Score

Win Rate

40.0%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

122

Sharpe Ratio

-2.06

Sortino Ratio

-2.09

Max Drawdown

9011.0%

ROI

0.7%

Profit Factor

1.66

Kelly Fraction

0.158

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

03.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	19.0¢	96.21	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	SELL	65.0¢	11.7	Mar 5
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	15.2¢	85.94	Mar 5
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	19.0¢	62.21	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	5.0¢	30.29	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	BUY	74.0¢	11.7	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	82.0¢	17.79	Mar 4
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?	SELL	76.0¢	12.93	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8?	SELL	33.0¢	3.26	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8?	SELL	33.0¢	20.03	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	49.9¢	28.35	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8?	SELL	33.1¢	10	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8?	BUY	25.9¢	33.3	Mar 4
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	68.0¢	21.48	Mar 4
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	BUY	19.0¢	49.72	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	SELL	47.0¢	5.72	Mar 4
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?	BUY	72.0¢	12.93	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	76.0¢	5.01	Mar 3
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	5.3¢	24.79	Mar 3
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	BUY	5.0¢	22.91	Mar 2

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing3.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.19

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.2%

Win Consistency40.0%

Profit Factor0.09

Drawdown Resilience0.07

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.07

Weekly Sharpe est.0.06

Trading Activity122 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$1480d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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