0x611b02...a89b3d

Smart Score

Win Rate

75.0%

Total P&L

-$28

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

7.10

Sortino Ratio

0.00

Max Drawdown

56.9%

ROI

-23.8%

Profit Factor

0.41

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

046.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	9.0¢	17.48	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	10.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	11.1¢	23.09	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	10.5¢	10.38	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	9.3¢	22.8	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	14.4¢	24.8	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	8.4¢	118.941	Mar 5
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	43.9¢	22.779	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	10.5¢	46.51	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	12.4¢	80.645	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	13.1¢	76.212	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	13.2¢	75.758	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	12.9¢	77.519	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	21.5¢	46.512	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	19.0¢	52.565	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	18.8¢	53.333	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing46.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.55

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)42.2%

Win Consistency75.0%

Profit Factor1.21

Drawdown Resilience0.97

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.97

Weekly Sharpe est.0.74

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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