0x599624...74b64f

Smart Score

Win Rate

52.2%

Total P&L

-$11

Trade Count

258

Sharpe Ratio

1.53

Sortino Ratio

2.94

Max Drawdown

253.9%

ROI

-25.0%

Profit Factor

0.29

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

03.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 6?	BUY	81.0¢	1.358	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	77.0¢	1.429	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?	BUY	85.0¢	1.294	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?	BUY	27.0¢	4.074	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 5?	BUY	54.0¢	2.037	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 6?	BUY	90.0¢	1.222	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 6PM ET	SELL	71.0¢	0.03	Mar 4
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 6PM ET	SELL	87.0¢	0.01	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6PM ET	SELL	69.0¢	0.01	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 6PM ET	SELL	66.0¢	0.07	Mar 4
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 6PM ET	SELL	92.6¢	0.01	Mar 4
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 6PM ET	SELL	94.0¢	0.07	Mar 4
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 6PM ET	SELL	90.0¢	0.08	Mar 4
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 6PM ET	SELL	96.0¢	0.01	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 6PM ET	SELL	94.0¢	0.09	Mar 4
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 6PM ET	SELL	94.0¢	0.08	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6PM ET	SELL	88.0¢	0.02	Mar 4
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 6PM ET	SELL	97.0¢	0.01	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6PM ET	SELL	90.0¢	0.02	Mar 4
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 6PM ET	SELL	95.0¢	0.08	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing3.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.18

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.0%

Win Consistency45.8%

Profit Factor0.09

Drawdown Resilience0.07

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.07

Weekly Sharpe est.0.05

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