0x44920b...d30f14

Smart Score

Win Rate

0.0%

Total P&L

-$6.9K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-2.80

Sortino Ratio

-6.94

Max Drawdown

265.5%

ROI

-79.1%

Profit Factor

0.00

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	14.6¢	4,078.715	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	14.0¢	32,857.143	Feb 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?	BUY	0.4¢	7,072.74	Jan 29
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	BUY	7.3¢	684.814	Jan 27
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	BUY	8.9¢	563.034	Jan 27
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	BUY	5.7¢	872.247	Jan 27
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	BUY	2.1¢	2,358.762	Jan 27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	15.0¢	3,333.333	Jan 27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?	BUY	7.0¢	7,142.857	Jan 27
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	BUY	7.4¢	4,062.5	Jan 25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	15.9¢	7,534.083	Jan 25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?	BUY	8.8¢	9,106.171	Jan 25

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency16.7%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity12 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$8,7220d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

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