0x3848e8...af7904

#16130 overall · top 76.58%

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.0%

Total P&L

-$193

Trade Count

347

Sharpe Ratio

-0.72

Sortino Ratio

-0.62

Max Drawdown

3229.7%

ROI

-8.7%

Profit Factor

0.59

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

02.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	95.9¢	6.236	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	95.9¢	6.236	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	3.49	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	85.0¢	43.494	Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	53.0¢	72.91	Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	37.0¢	72.919	Feb 24
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	SELL	56.0¢	2.88	Feb 22
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.7¢	7.23	Feb 22
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	88.0¢	2.88	Feb 22
Will Scream 7 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	SELL	99.3¢	7.22	Feb 22
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	97.0¢	2.89	Feb 22
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	SELL	89.0¢	1.45	Feb 22
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	97.0¢	4.37	Feb 22

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing2.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.13

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.2%

Win Consistency42.3%

Profit Factor0.06

Drawdown Resilience0.05

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.05

Weekly Sharpe est.0.04

Trading Activity347 trades · 33 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,0859d profit24d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

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