0x36d862...0da3ae

Smart Score

Win Rate

62.0%

Total P&L

-$194

Trade Count

382

Sharpe Ratio

-0.63

Sortino Ratio

-0.55

Max Drawdown

3990.8%

ROI

-8.0%

Profit Factor

0.55

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

02.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	97.1¢	10.834	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	97.1¢	6.159	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	97.1¢	6.159	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	97.1¢	6.159	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	97.1¢	6.159	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.9¢	6.2	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.9¢	3.8	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.9¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.9¢	1.2	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	87.0¢	8.816	Mar 1
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	87.0¢	6.828	Mar 1
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	87.0¢	6.828	Mar 1
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	86.0¢	6.907	Mar 1
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	87.0¢	6.828	Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	53.0¢	61.83	Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	37.0¢	61.838	Feb 24

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing2.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.14

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.4%

Win Consistency42.3%

Profit Factor0.07

Drawdown Resilience0.05

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.05

Weekly Sharpe est.0.04

Trading Activity382 trades · 33 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,2479d profit24d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

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