0x352711...d471a6

Smart Score

Win Rate

60.0%

Total P&L

-$150

Trade Count

374

Sharpe Ratio

-0.51

Sortino Ratio

-0.54

Max Drawdown

3352.2%

ROI

-6.4%

Profit Factor

0.57

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

03/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	5	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	96.4¢	8.683	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	96.3¢	3.79	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	96.5¢	6.197	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	96.5¢	6.197	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	96.5¢	6.197	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	96.5¢	6.197	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	2.81	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	85.0¢	42.812	Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	53.0¢	71.78	Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	37.0¢	39.243	Feb 24
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	97.1¢	4.36	Feb 24
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	87.0¢	2.88	Feb 24

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.16

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.7%

Win Consistency41.6%

Profit Factor0.08

Drawdown Resilience0.06

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.06

Weekly Sharpe est.0.05

Trading Activity374 trades · 35 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,12011d profit24d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

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