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0x230725...db1b45

0x230725...db1b45
#3001 overall · top 14.25%
Smart Score
47
Win Rate
58.6%
Total P&L
+$988
Trade Count
125
Sharpe Ratio
1.17
Sortino Ratio
3.70
Max Drawdown
1181.7%
ROI
12.6%
Profit Factor
6.21
Kelly Fraction
0.492
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
047.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY10.7¢118.037Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY33.3¢461.74Mar 5
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?SELL29.9¢340.32Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?SELL30.3¢341.93Mar 5
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?BUY62.0¢340.323Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY62.0¢341.935Mar 3
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?SELL48.0¢192.3Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?SELL40.4¢288.46Mar 3
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?SELL50.0¢284.61Mar 3
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?BUY39.0¢192.308Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY26.0¢288.462Mar 3
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?BUY26.0¢284.615Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY16.2¢580.247Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL76.0¢517.18Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY64.0¢126.563Mar 2
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY64.0¢390.625Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY27.0¢114.695Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?SELL31.0¢102.14Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY26.9¢271.314Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?SELL44.0¢167.28Mar 1

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%20%< 10%16%10–20%21%20–30%30%30–50%13%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing47.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.60
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)43.0%
Win Consistency56.3%
Profit Factor1.23
Drawdown Resilience0.99
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.99
Weekly Sharpe est.0.76
Trading Activity125 trades · 12 active days
JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$8854d profit8d loss
JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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