0x15233b...7cef71

Smart Score

Win Rate

78.6%

Total P&L

-$14

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.38

Sortino Ratio

-1.00

Max Drawdown

821.2%

ROI

-4.3%

Profit Factor

0.24

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

01.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will China join the Board of Peace?	BUY	97.7¢	5.71	Mar 5
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?	BUY	97.3¢	21	Feb 28
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	92.0¢	18	Feb 25
Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	18	Feb 13
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	BUY	99.4¢	15	Feb 13
Will China join the Board of Peace?	BUY	99.1¢	30	Feb 13
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	20	Feb 2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?	BUY	95.9¢	26	Feb 2
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.6¢	20	Feb 2
Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	36	Feb 2
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?	BUY	1.0¢	103.115	Feb 2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BUY	94.7¢	22.471	Jan 16
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	50.15	Jan 16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?	BUY	97.7¢	25.589	Jan 16
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?	BUY	97.9¢	30.644	Jan 16

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing1.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.08

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.4%

Win Consistency64.3%

Profit Factor0.04

Drawdown Resilience0.03

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.03

Weekly Sharpe est.0.02

Trading Activity15 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$3330d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

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