0x042893...a85df1

#9454 overall · top 44.88%

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.0%

Total P&L

-$3

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.70

Sortino Ratio

-0.57

Max Drawdown

70.6%

ROI

-0.2%

Profit Factor

0.52

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	SELL	58.0¢	58.06	Mar 5
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	BUY	58.0¢	183.97	Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	58.2¢	0.1	Mar 3
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	58.2¢	57	Mar 3
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	57.7¢	68.69	Mar 3
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	55.0¢	40.39	Mar 2
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	41.2¢	47.85	Mar 2
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	95.8¢	80.85	Mar 2
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	82.9¢	33.67	Mar 2
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	SELL	57.0¢	13.96	Mar 1
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	41.4¢	120.85	Feb 28
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	SELL	85.0¢	14.53	Feb 28
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	42.1¢	168.7	Feb 26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	97.3¢	91.83	Feb 26
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	86.6¢	38.88	Feb 23
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	86.4¢	72.55	Feb 21
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	2.0¢	53.27	Feb 20
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	2.4¢	31.8	Feb 16
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	SELL	37.0¢	125.99	Feb 15
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	BUY	37.0¢	144.06	Feb 15

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.22

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.2%

Win Consistency64.3%

Profit Factor0.58

Drawdown Resilience0.47

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.47

Weekly Sharpe est.0.36

Trading Activity42 trades · 25 active days

P&L Calendar

$28714d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

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