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toadlinger

0x2fd2f9...604e7a
Smart Score
17
Win Rate
53.2%
Total P&L
-$63
Trade Count
126
Sharpe Ratio
3.69
Sortino Ratio
136.28
Max Drawdown
105.7%
ROI
-32.7%
Profit Factor
0.44
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
016.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETBUY55.0¢5Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETBUY69.9¢5Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETBUY57.0¢5Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETBUY65.0¢5Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETBUY68.0¢5Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETBUY73.0¢5Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETBUY60.0¢5Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETBUY57.0¢5Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETBUY64.9¢3Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETBUY72.0¢3Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETBUY54.0¢4Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETBUY55.0¢3Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETBUY70.9¢3Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY41.0¢5Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETBUY67.9¢3Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETBUY58.9¢3Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY45.0¢9Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETBUY69.0¢7Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETBUY51.0¢10Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETBUY61.0¢8Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%70%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%21%50–70%6%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing16.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.93
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.4%
Win Consistency25.5%
Profit Factor0.44
Drawdown Resilience0.35
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.35
Weekly Sharpe est.0.27
Trading Activity126 trades · 5 active days
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1920d profit5d loss
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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