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THPy

0x7b4c3d...352904
Smart Score
16
Win Rate
25.0%
Total P&L
-$0
Trade Count
66
Sharpe Ratio
1.86
Sortino Ratio
6.93
Max Drawdown
732.1%
ROI
-0.3%
Profit Factor
0.62
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
015.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL51.0¢2.14Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL14.3¢7.51Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL38.0¢2.93Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL79.0¢1.99Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL86.0¢1.4Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY52.0¢2.14Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY14.6¢7.51Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY38.0¢2.93Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY82.0¢1.99Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL14.6¢6.92Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY15.9¢6.92Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL15.8¢6.85Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL61.0¢1.79Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL82.0¢1.69Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY16.1¢6.85Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY62.0¢1.79Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY81.0¢1.69Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL81.0¢1.99Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL16.0¢6.81Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY16.2¢6.81Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%26%10–20%20–30%12%30–50%29%50–70%70–80%32%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing15.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.86
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.3%
Win Consistency20.0%
Profit Factor0.41
Drawdown Resilience0.33
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.33
Weekly Sharpe est.0.25

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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