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TheGoldenWitch

TheGoldenWitch

0x658601...fbc69c
#10252 overall · top 48.67%
Smart Score
20
Win Rate
34.1%
Total P&L
-$1.6K
Trade Count
3,113
Sharpe Ratio
0.37
Sortino Ratio
12.45
Max Drawdown
120.7%
ROI
-2.6%
Profit Factor
0.74
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
019.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Republican Party win the CA-39 House seat?BUY9.0¢200Mar 5
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat?BUY91.0¢200Mar 5
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-08 House seat?BUY9.0¢200Mar 5
Will the Republican Party win the GA-08 House seat?BUY91.0¢200Mar 5
Will the Republican Party win the AR-04 House seat?BUY93.0¢200Mar 5
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-44 House seat?BUY93.0¢200Mar 5
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat?SELL15.0¢6Mar 5
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?SELL82.0¢10Mar 5
Will the Republican Party win the AR-04 House seat?SELL92.0¢200Mar 5
Will the Republican Party win the GA-08 House seat?SELL90.0¢200Mar 5
Will the Republican Party win the CA-39 House seat?SELL8.0¢200Mar 5
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat?SELL90.0¢200Mar 5
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-44 House seat?SELL92.0¢200Mar 5
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-08 House seat?SELL8.0¢200Mar 5
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat?BUY91.0¢200Mar 5
Will the Republican Party win the CA-39 House seat?BUY9.0¢200Mar 5
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-08 House seat?BUY9.0¢200Mar 5
Will the Republican Party win the GA-08 House seat?BUY91.0¢200Mar 5
Will the Republican Party win the AR-04 House seat?BUY93.0¢200Mar 5
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-44 House seat?BUY93.0¢200Mar 5

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%29%< 10%18%10–20%7%20–30%8%30–50%8%50–70%5%70–80%10%80–90%15%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing19.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.09
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.0%
Win Consistency59.8%
Profit Factor0.51
Drawdown Resilience0.42
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.42
Weekly Sharpe est.0.32
Trading Activity3,099 trades · 33 active days
JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,9694d profit29d loss
JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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Preview data · updated daily · full equity curve & more at accrue.com/platform