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Splycy

0x5936a9...41afa3
#12171 overall · top 57.78%
Smart Score
13
Win Rate
33.3%
Total P&L
-$158
Trade Count
30
Sharpe Ratio
1.15
Sortino Ratio
1.60
Max Drawdown
1951.3%
ROI
-1.8%
Profit Factor
0.74
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
013.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?SELL99.1¢260.68Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?BUY85.0¢309.906Mar 3
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?SELL41.0¢131.57Mar 3
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?BUY38.0¢131.579Mar 3
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?SELL34.9¢393.42Mar 3
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?SELL31.9¢382.32Mar 3
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?BUY38.0¢393.421Mar 3
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?BUY39.2¢382.328Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY95.9¢260.688Mar 3
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY90.0¢111.167Mar 3
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY82.9¢301.749Mar 3
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY11.5¢869.565Mar 3
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?BUY76.9¢1,300.197Mar 2
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?BUY81.9¢1,078.347Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL43.0¢2,054.24Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY43.9¢1,306.374Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY42.0¢8.621Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY42.0¢739.25Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL99.7¢890Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY76.0¢890Feb 28

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%9%< 10%9%10–20%20–30%27%30–50%5%50–70%23%70–80%23%80–90%5%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing13.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.73
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.1%
Win Consistency66.7%
Profit Factor0.35
Drawdown Resilience0.28
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.28
Weekly Sharpe est.0.21
Trading Activity30 trades · 8 active days
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2,7911d profit6d loss
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

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