sfa11

0x5044dd...6e4c2a

Smart Score

Win Rate

69.6%

Total P&L

+$2.3K

Trade Count

541

Sharpe Ratio

0.50

Sortino Ratio

4.24

Max Drawdown

1073.1%

ROI

14.4%

Profit Factor

2.08

Kelly Fraction

0.362

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

033.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.8¢	50	Mar 5
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	2.3¢	50	Mar 5
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	1.1¢	100	Mar 5
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.0¢	100	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	97.3¢	100	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	2.8¢	100	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?	BUY	2.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?	BUY	98.1¢	100	Mar 5
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	1.1¢	100	Mar 5
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	1.7¢	90	Mar 5
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	98.4¢	90	Mar 5
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	SELL	95.8¢	30	Mar 4
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	BUY	96.0¢	30	Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	98.2¢	70	Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	1.9¢	70	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	97.6¢	50	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	2.5¢	50	Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	2.4¢	50	Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.7¢	50	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing33.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.83

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.2%

Win Consistency45.5%

Profit Factor0.86

Drawdown Resilience0.70

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.70

Weekly Sharpe est.0.53

Trading Activity541 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$13,6840d profit20d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue