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QuantuM69

QuantuM69

0x3f29de...328638@quanti_xbt
Smart Score
13
Win Rate
40.0%
Total P&L
-$10
Trade Count
26
Sharpe Ratio
0.27
Sortino Ratio
1.43
Max Drawdown
28363.0%
ROI
-3.3%
Profit Factor
0.87
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
012.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?SELL4.5¢106.37Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?BUY11.0¢90.909Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?BUY8.9¢56.407Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY9.7¢51.598Mar 3
Iran nuclear test before 2027?BUY13.0¢38.462Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.7¢294.118Mar 3
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY4.7¢106.374Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL71.2¢136.84Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY7.3¢136.849Mar 2
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL13.5¢74.04Mar 2
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY37.8¢74.048Mar 1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY4.4¢113.636Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY83.0¢24.084Feb 27
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?BUY28.0¢17.893Feb 25
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?BUY45.0¢33.333Feb 24
US government shutdown Saturday?SELL0.2¢5.11Feb 2
US government shutdown Saturday?BUY26.0¢5.115Jan 29
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?SELL2.2¢60.4Jan 29
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY24.0¢30.208Jan 14
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?SELL5.0¢145.11Jan 14

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%33%< 10%17%10–20%28%20–30%17%30–50%50–70%70–80%6%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing12.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.70
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.6%
Win Consistency13.3%
Profit Factor0.33
Drawdown Resilience0.27
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.27
Weekly Sharpe est.0.20
Trading Activity26 trades · 17 active days
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$427d profit9d loss
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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