NMTRG243

0x0aa2cc...cddfd8

Smart Score

Win Rate

57.8%

Total P&L

-$6

Trade Count

473

Sharpe Ratio

0.28

Sortino Ratio

3.10

Max Drawdown

2749.5%

ROI

-0.2%

Profit Factor

0.69

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

015/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6AM ET	BUY	99.9¢	18.018	Mar 5
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.8¢	7.22	Mar 5
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	96.9¢	7.224	Mar 5
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	95.7¢	7.315	Mar 5
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	82.0¢	9.756	Mar 5
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.7¢	6.13	Mar 5
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.8¢	6.135	Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.4¢	6.21	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.8¢	8.25	Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.3¢	6.18	Mar 4
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	SELL	78.6¢	11.17	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ET	SELL	99.9¢	9.18	Mar 4
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	BUY	80.7¢	11.152	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	9.184	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	84.0¢	4.6	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	84.0¢	7.315	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.5¢	5.13	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.6¢	5.123	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ET	BUY	98.6¢	6.085	Mar 4
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	78.3¢	8.95	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing15

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.82

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.7%

Win Consistency46.0%

Profit Factor0.39

Drawdown Resilience0.32

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.32

Weekly Sharpe est.0.24

Trading Activity473 trades · 38 active days

P&L Calendar

$4169d profit29d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue