negativeNelly

0x396cd4...f056ad

Smart Score

Win Rate

44.3%

Total P&L

+$61

Trade Count

105

Sharpe Ratio

-0.04

Sortino Ratio

-0.11

Max Drawdown

614.7%

ROI

4.2%

Profit Factor

1.19

Kelly Fraction

0.071

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?	BUY	33.9¢	24.68	Mar 5
Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be less than 3m?	BUY	92.0¢	27.174	Mar 3
Will Kon Knueppel lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?	BUY	15.8¢	31.888	Mar 3
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?	BUY	75.0¢	12	Mar 3
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	33.9¢	21.858	Mar 3
Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	SELL	0.8¢	162.85	Mar 2
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	SELL	9.0¢	41.85	Mar 2
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	SELL	12.2¢	17.9	Mar 2
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?	BUY	20.0¢	34.55	Mar 2
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?	BUY	43.8¢	21.187	Mar 2
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?	BUY	86.0¢	8.093	Mar 2
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?	BUY	40.0¢	17.425	Mar 2
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	7.6¢	60.429	Mar 2
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	70.4¢	32.749	Mar 2
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	15.3¢	65.563	Feb 28
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	BUY	29.0¢	36.966	Feb 27
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	16.0¢	67	Feb 27
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?	SELL	68.0¢	15.65	Feb 27
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?	SELL	62.3¢	68.36	Feb 27
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?	SELL	0.3¢	87.21	Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.50

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.3%

Win Consistency38.3%

Profit Factor0.24

Drawdown Resilience0.19

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.19

Weekly Sharpe est.0.15

Trading Activity105 trades · 25 active days

P&L Calendar

$7533d profit22d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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