Motosha

0x124f1f...510dea

#16447 overall · top 78.08%

Smart Score

Win Rate

54.5%

Total P&L

-$2.3K

Trade Count

128

Sharpe Ratio

1.54

Sortino Ratio

2.30

Max Drawdown

1271.3%

ROI

-38.6%

Profit Factor

0.02

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

01.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	81.0¢	12.5	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	81.0¢	113.03	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	81.0¢	72.56	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	34.0¢	19.84	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	85.4¢	254.94	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	96.1¢	2.87	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	53.0¢	14.03	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	96.1¢	0.23	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	96.1¢	0.01	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	96.1¢	0.02	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	96.1¢	0.04	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	96.1¢	0.04	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	96.1¢	0.05	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	96.1¢	0.03	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	96.1¢	0.02	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	96.0¢	1.52	Mar 5
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	BUY	34.0¢	93.27	Mar 4
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	BUY	34.0¢	74.62	Mar 4
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?	BUY	53.0¢	4.255	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	95.7¢	0.92	Mar 4

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing1.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.10

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.7%

Win Consistency59.1%

Profit Factor0.05

Drawdown Resilience0.04

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.04

Weekly Sharpe est.0.03

Trading Activity128 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,9552d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

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