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Meganpark9803

0xf69c6d...22ebc4
#9063 overall · top 43.03%
Smart Score
23
Win Rate
30.0%
Total P&L
+$1.0K
Trade Count
128
Sharpe Ratio
0.45
Sortino Ratio
1.05
Max Drawdown
113.1%
ROI
23.4%
Profit Factor
7.61
Kelly Fraction
0.261
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
023.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL61.0¢14.08Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL17.4¢63.15Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL83.6¢14.33Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL25.1¢48Mar 4
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL21.2¢29.29Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY61.0¢14.08Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY83.7¢14.33Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY19.0¢63.15Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?SELL96.8¢8.27Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY25.0¢48Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL60.0¢15.02Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL82.7¢14.18Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL19.0¢55.92Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY21.0¢55.92Mar 4
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY21.7¢29.29Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL24.8¢7.18Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL24.8¢15Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL24.9¢25Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL21.0¢51.91Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY95.0¢8.27Mar 4

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%8%10–20%52%20–30%11%30–50%11%50–70%70–80%13%80–90%5%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing23.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.29
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.3%
Win Consistency40.0%
Profit Factor0.61
Drawdown Resilience0.49
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.49
Weekly Sharpe est.0.37
Trading Activity128 trades · 5 active days
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$1,0332d profit3d loss
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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