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Luna-One-19.02.2025

0xd1db31...a71afa
#1515 overall · top 7.19%
Smart Score
59
Win Rate
44.1%
Total P&L
-$30
Trade Count
103
Sharpe Ratio
2.23
Sortino Ratio
101.80
Max Drawdown
20.9%
ROI
-11.6%
Profit Factor
0.70
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
059/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY35.9¢5.571Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETBUY94.0¢5.319Mar 5
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?BUY12.4¢8.065Mar 4
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETBUY54.0¢1.852Mar 4
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?BUY20.0¢5Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETBUY92.0¢2.174Mar 4
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETBUY74.0¢1.351Mar 4
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?BUY18.0¢5.556Mar 4
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?BUY17.0¢35.294Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY51.0¢9.804Mar 2
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?BUY27.0¢9.9Feb 28
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?BUY27.0¢1.1Feb 28
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?BUY0.1¢2,000Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETBUY83.0¢2.41Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETBUY32.0¢3.125Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETBUY29.0¢3.448Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETBUY21.0¢4.762Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETBUY33.0¢3.03Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETBUY57.0¢3.509Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETBUY56.0¢1.786Feb 28

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%23%< 10%13%10–20%13%20–30%28%30–50%14%50–70%70–80%80–90%5%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active59

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.24
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)53.7%
Win Consistency63.2%
Profit Factor1.53
Drawdown Resilience1.24
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.24
Weekly Sharpe est.0.94
Trading Activity103 trades · 12 active days
JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2400d profit12d loss
JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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