ITEFD

0x703385...e56837

Smart Score

Win Rate

64.3%

Total P&L

+$11

Trade Count

456

Sharpe Ratio

-1.83

Sortino Ratio

-1.70

Max Drawdown

10618.4%

ROI

0.4%

Profit Factor

1.49

Kelly Fraction

0.212

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

07.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	93.5¢	7.487	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	12.121	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	SELL	99.8¢	12.12	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	12.121	Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	SELL	51.0¢	15.4	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.8¢	8.25	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	61.0¢	12.91	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	83.0¢	10.48	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	92.6¢	10.75	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	62.0¢	12.903	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	SELL	76.0¢	7.12	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	BUY	98.2¢	7.128	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	5.051	Mar 4
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	68.0¢	7.37	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	BUY	52.0¢	15.385	Mar 4
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	68.0¢	7.353	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	75.0¢	10.66	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	75.0¢	10.667	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.4¢	8.19	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.6¢	8.197	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing7.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.42

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.9%

Win Consistency40.2%

Profit Factor0.20

Drawdown Resilience0.16

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.16

Weekly Sharpe est.0.12

Trading Activity456 trades · 38 active days

P&L Calendar

$47410d profit28d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue