hexinput

0x54e12c...b75263

Smart Score

Win Rate

40.0%

Total P&L

+$18.4K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.28

Sortino Ratio

-16.88

Max Drawdown

196.6%

ROI

39.1%

Profit Factor

13.93

Kelly Fraction

0.371

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?	SELL	92.9¢	2,625.99	Nov 18
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?	SELL	93.1¢	12,809.84	Nov 18
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?	BUY	64.4¢	7,767.576	Nov 17
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?	BUY	65.2¢	7,668.263	Nov 17
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?	BUY	57.0¢	175.439	May 22
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?	BUY	62.0¢	161.29	May 18
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?	SELL	5.4¢	13,175.56	May 18
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?	BUY	8.6¢	1,000	May 18
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?	BUY	10.0¢	276.42	May 18
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?	BUY	1.7¢	5,967.242	May 18
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?	SELL	98.4¢	2,349.95	May 18
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?	SELL	98.4¢	12,499.46	May 18
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?	BUY	10.0¢	109	May 18
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?	BUY	10.0¢	8,614.58	May 18
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?	BUY	30.0¢	3,175.567	May 18
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?	BUY	34.0¢	11,763.765	May 9
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?	BUY	34.0¢	2,941.235	May 9
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?	BUY	34.0¢	144.412	May 9

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.51

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.0%

Win Consistency33.3%

Profit Factor0.72

Drawdown Resilience0.58

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.58

Weekly Sharpe est.0.44

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue