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Heldenkampf

0xa0a461...82621a
#13018 overall · top 61.81%
Smart Score
11
Win Rate
70.8%
Total P&L
-$9.3K
Trade Count
3,884
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14
Sortino Ratio
-0.20
Max Drawdown
645.9%
ROI
-2.2%
Profit Factor
0.81
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
010.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY81.0¢89.47Mar 5
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?BUY77.0¢100Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY81.0¢10.526Mar 5
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?BUY79.3¢100Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?SELL84.0¢128.87Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?BUY65.0¢5Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?SELL60.0¢47.34Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?SELL50.0¢75Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY51.0¢23.67Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY51.0¢23.67Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY71.0¢189.94Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY72.0¢300Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY79.0¢84Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY79.0¢16Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY79.0¢3.57Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY79.0¢71.429Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY79.0¢10Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY79.0¢15Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?SELL99.9¢500Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY85.0¢72.88Mar 4

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%10–20%20–30%9%30–50%19%50–70%15%70–80%21%80–90%26%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing10.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.58
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.7%
Win Consistency60.0%
Profit Factor0.28
Drawdown Resilience0.22
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.22
Weekly Sharpe est.0.17
Trading Activity1,266 trades · 114 active days
JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$51,81026d profit86d loss
JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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