FVHN45

0xc4e413...0075ba

Smart Score

Win Rate

64.9%

Total P&L

+$6

Trade Count

501

Sharpe Ratio

-0.35

Sortino Ratio

-1.02

Max Drawdown

1506.7%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

1.36

Kelly Fraction

0.172

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	83.0¢	7.15	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	SELL	51.0¢	19.23	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	BUY	84.0¢	7.143	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	96.6¢	8.26	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	96.9¢	8.256	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.5¢	10.25	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.6¢	10.246	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	SELL	73.0¢	8.24	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	BUY	97.0¢	8.247	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	94.5¢	10.6	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5PM ET	BUY	99.5¢	9.045	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	94.6¢	10.571	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ET	BUY	98.9¢	8.085	Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.9¢	10.21	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.7¢	7.22	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	96.9¢	7.224	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.7¢	7.23	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	96.9¢	7.224	Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	SELL	91.5¢	7.64	Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	BUY	91.6¢	7.642	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.52

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.6%

Win Consistency36.5%

Profit Factor0.24

Drawdown Resilience0.20

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.20

Weekly Sharpe est.0.15

Trading Activity501 trades · 39 active days

P&L Calendar

$59010d profit28d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue