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FDB4567

0x102b41...8d616e
Smart Score
3
Win Rate
59.7%
Total P&L
+$2
Trade Count
478
Sharpe Ratio
-1.48
Sortino Ratio
-1.29
Max Drawdown
2210.8%
ROI
0.1%
Profit Factor
1.11
Kelly Fraction
0.059
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
03.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY62.0¢16.129Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL90.7¢5.5Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY90.8¢5.507Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL62.0¢9.67Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY62.0¢9.677Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢13.49Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL82.0¢5.92Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.8¢8.2Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL97.7¢8.19Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY97.9¢8.172Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETSELL75.2¢9.19Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETBUY97.9¢9.193Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL91.0¢7.65Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY91.5¢7.65Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY52.0¢13.462Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ETBUY98.9¢10.111Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL96.4¢6.19Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY96.9¢6.192Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL51.0¢19.6Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢8.35Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%15%50–70%7%70–80%8%80–90%68%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing3.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.19
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.1%
Win Consistency46.9%
Profit Factor0.09
Drawdown Resilience0.07
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.07
Weekly Sharpe est.0.05
Trading Activity478 trades · 37 active days
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4739d profit28d loss
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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