fcde2
0xec43a9...9d3134
Smart Score
42
Win Rate
54.5%
Total P&L
+$2
Trade Count
11
Sharpe Ratio
0.44
Sortino Ratio
0.50
Max Drawdown
11.2%
ROI
0.5%
Profit Factor
2.85
Kelly Fraction
0.354
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
041.6/100100
Recent Trades
| Market | Side | Price | Size | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 1.3¢ | 1,538.462 | Mar 5 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 96.0¢ | 20.833 | Mar 5 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 99.1¢ | 50.454 | Mar 5 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 91.5¢ | 21.858 | Mar 5 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 95.0¢ | 42.105 | Dec 15 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 99.5¢ | 20.1 | Dec 15 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 98.9¢ | 20.222 | Dec 15 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 96.7¢ | 20.683 | Dec 15 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 99.0¢ | 20.202 | Nov 26 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 97.5¢ | 41.026 | Nov 26 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 98.9¢ | 60.667 | Nov 26 |
Analytics
Unlock full analytics on AccrueOdds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence
Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets
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Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing41.6
Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager
Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.29
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)37.9%
Win Consistency54.5%
Profit Factor1.08
Drawdown Resilience0.87
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.87
Weekly Sharpe est.0.67
Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue
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